Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.183473 0.218853 0.258615 0.306520 0.362581 0.426013 0.503130
2025-03-30 0.133063 0.178790 0.235956 0.312286 0.411105 0.534241 0.698773
2025-04-06 0.101778 0.149740 0.214724 0.308408 0.439053 0.613662 0.863351
2025-04-13 0.081236 0.128999 0.198214 0.304534 0.462103 0.685004 1.021613
2025-04-20 0.069879 0.118533 0.193234 0.314354 0.503327 0.783679 1.226689
2025-04-27 0.064771 0.116374 0.199673 0.341168 0.571844 0.928163 1.513177
2025-05-04 0.057970 0.110002 0.198066 0.354337 0.619755 1.045373 1.769258
2025-05-11 0.049521 0.099152 0.187133 0.350029 0.637867 1.116323 1.957974
2025-05-18 0.041313 0.087197 0.172302 0.336513 0.637978 1.156681 2.099015
2025-05-25 0.034219 0.076048 0.157130 0.319957 0.630082 1.181611 2.214833
2025-06-01 0.030926 0.071929 0.154542 0.326338 0.664163 1.282351 2.471467
2025-06-08 0.026359 0.064294 0.143867 0.315429 0.664084 1.321044 2.619332
2025-06-15 0.023946 0.061163 0.142321 0.323473 0.703365 1.439377 2.931552
2025-06-22 0.021544 0.057644 0.139497 0.328638 0.737866 1.552842 3.247283
2025-06-29 0.018796 0.052740 0.132825 0.324494 0.752459 1.628644 3.496881
2025-07-06 0.016454 0.048367 0.126630 0.320425 0.766488 1.704298 3.752794
2025-07-13 0.015259 0.046756 0.126703 0.330720 0.813047 1.850998 4.166598
2025-07-20 0.015111 0.047980 0.133895 0.358827 0.902785 2.096595 4.807631
2025-07-27 0.014220 0.046926 0.135165 0.372628 0.960991 2.279628 5.331290
2025-08-03 0.012601 0.043399 0.129445 0.368114 0.975381 2.367880 5.657432
2025-08-10 0.010809 0.038943 0.120489 0.353948 0.964621 2.398582 5.858937
2025-08-17 0.009152 0.034528 0.110882 0.336594 0.943697 2.403682 6.002697
2025-08-24 0.008491 0.033264 0.110113 0.343283 0.984762 2.557371 6.501016